BW2/3
I disagree. Wait the next primary on April 22. If Obama wins, he will probably be the next Democratic nomination. Those states that Obama won, do you think he can win on the election day? Those states that he won are Republicans states. Clinton won all the Dermocratic states.
If he can win the big states like Penn, the delegates would side him. Then he would be the next nominee.
Judging by all practical scenarios, it is impossible for Hillary to pass Barack Obama in the number of pledged delegates even with a victory in Pennsylvania. She has a slight chance at winning the popular vote, and could use that advantage to convince enough superdelegates to push her over the edge, but chances are slim. If she doesn't win the popular vote she would have to convince the party members that despite having less votes, winning less states, and having less pledged delegates she would somehow have a better shot at beating John McCain than Obama. She's a good lawyer, but that's a tough sell.
Also, I don't understand the argument that Obama would have a difficult time winning the general election because the states he has won do not tend to be Democratic strongholds. If anything, I would think his success in both red states and swing states would bode well for the general election. Isn't the Democratic nominee likely to win traditionally Democratic states no matter who he or she is? Make no mistake, Hillary is a very, very polarizing figure. While she has strong support among the Democratic faithful, she is not going to have the success Obama will at attracting independents and moderate Republicans. Their support will greatly help in the general election.
I think McCain has a shot to carry the torch. No need a miracle.
Well, judging the by the nation's recent dissatisfaction with the Republican Party, as well as the fact that voter turnout in the Democratic primaries has simply dwarfed that of the Republicans, I would be shocked to see John McCain ultimately victorious. Of course, I do think he's got a better shot against Hillary.